Model Predictions
| Model | Tarleton State Texans | UT Arlington Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.4% | 62.6% | +2.2 | ✓ (7.8 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.9% | 80.1% | +7.7 | ✓ (2.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 23.9% | 76.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.1% | 78.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UT Arlington Mavericks +10 (67-57). Ratings: 2024-25 season-end ratings.
Tarleton State Texans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bubu Benjamin * | 37 | 2-10 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | -7.9 |
| Jordan Mizell * | 35 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 13 | +2.0 |
| Keitenn Bristow * | 31 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 3 | -7.2 |
| Chris Mpaka * | 29 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 9 | +2.8 |
| Izzy Miles * | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -8.5 |
| Dantwan Grimes | 28 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | -10.0 |
| Freddy Hicks | 19 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | -11.4 |
| Nick Krass | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.0 |
UT Arlington Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brody Robinson * | 35 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 5-6 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 13 | +5.9 |
| Darius Burford * | 31 | 4-7 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 19 | +8.1 |
| Raysean Seamster * | 24 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 3 | +2.6 |
| Lance Ware * | 21 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | +0.2 |
| Kade Douglas * | 18 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +11.6 |
| Brandyn Talbot | 25 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | +9.2 |
| Diante Smith | 18 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | -0.5 |
| Cameron Jackson | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | +7.4 |
| Jaden Wells | 10 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2 | -0.9 |
| Jaxon Ellingsworth | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1.9 |
* = starter