Model Predictions
| Model | California Baptist Lancers | Grand Canyon Lopes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.5% | 82.5% | +8.5 | ✓ (6.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.9% | 79.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.8% | 79.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Grand Canyon Lopes +2 (66-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
California Baptist Lancers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martel Williams | 35 | 8-14 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 9 | - |
| Javonté Johnson | 35 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | +8.2 |
| Tylen Riley | 34 | 3-10 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 7 | +9.3 |
| Kendal Coleman | 32 | 9-13 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 19 | +13.5 |
| Sam Silverstein | 22 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | +12.1 |
| AJ Braun | 19 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | -15.2 |
| Adam Moussa | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -8.4 |
| Bradey Henige | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -6.4 |
| Brantly Stevenson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -6.6 |
| Mouhamadou Dioum | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -3.8 |
Grand Canyon Lopes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JaKobe Coles | 35 | 7-14 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 7 | -2.6 |
| Ray Harrison | 34 | 6-13 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 7 | -3.5 |
| Duke Brennan | 30 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10 | +0.4 |
| Makaih Williams | 30 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 1 | -4.9 |
| Collin Moore | 25 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | +4.8 |
| Caleb Shaw | 22 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | -0.2 |
| Lok Wur | 16 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | +1.7 |
| Styles Phipps | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +0.4 |
* = starter