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2025-02-20

Model Predictions

Model Southern Utah Thunderbirds Abilene Christian Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 17.6% 82.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 24.7% 75.3% - โœ“
Margin 19.2% 80.8% +7.9 โœ“ (8.1 off)
Pythagorean 32.8% 67.2% - โœ“
Efficiency 33.9% 66.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 23.4% 76.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 23.3% 76.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 33.3% 66.7% - โœ“

Actual: Abilene Christian Wildcats +16 (75-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Southern Utah Thunderbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jamir Simpson 34 5-12 1-1 4-6 6 2 1 0 6 15 6 -18.7
Dominique Ford 28 2-8 0-4 2-2 2 0 1 0 4 6 -3 -21.8
JT Langston Jr. 25 3-6 0-1 7-8 6 0 1 1 1 13 14 -12.2
Lorenzo Abellar 23 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 3 2 0 7 0 -3 -3.2
Brock Felder 20 3-4 0-0 2-3 6 1 1 0 2 8 10 -9.4
Robert Jeter IV 19 1-5 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -3 -8.7
Kai Burdick 14 2-4 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 1 1 4 8 +0.4
Duncan Reid 13 2-4 0-2 1-2 3 2 0 0 1 5 5 -5.6
Malik Lamin 9 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 3 -4.9
Cade Brazier 7 1-2 0-1 2-2 0 1 0 0 1 4 2 -0.0
Hercy Miller 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 3 0 -1 -4.8
Peter Dadson Jr 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -0.0

Abilene Christian Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
H. Madden 28 4-8 2-5 4-4 3 2 0 0 1 14 10 +15.3
Bradyn Hubbard 27 4-8 1-2 2-2 10 1 3 0 2 11 15 +22.4
Quion Williams 27 5-14 0-1 4-8 3 2 2 0 0 14 7 +7.1
Rich Smith 21 0-3 0-0 2-3 3 2 3 1 2 2 6 +23.6
Leonardo Bettiol 20 3-10 0-0 2-3 1 0 1 1 1 8 0 +12.4
Nasir DeGruy 19 2-5 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 4 0 -3.2
Dontrez Williams 18 4-6 0-1 0-0 1 1 4 0 2 8 6 +6.3
Cade Hornecker 16 5-8 0-1 0-2 4 0 2 0 0 10 8 +5.8
Yaniel Rivera 11 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 3 0 1 0 2 -0.3
Christian Alston 7 1-2 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 1 1 4 3 -
Ma'Shy Hill 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 1 0 0 2 -0.0
Jack Sawyer 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Colby Tanner 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter