Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Valley Wolverines | Southern Utah Thunderbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 84.1% | 15.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 86.2% | 13.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 86.4% | 13.6% | -10.2 | ✓ (8.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 74.6% | 25.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 74.6% | 25.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 90.3% | 9.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 90.4% | 9.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 69.8% | 30.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Southern Utah Thunderbirds -2 (68-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah Valley Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Toolson | 34 | 6-11 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 10 | -4.1 |
| Dominick Nelson | 32 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 6-10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | +0.8 |
| Carter Welling | 29 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 7-14 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 20 | -3.8 |
| Trevan Leonhardt | 26 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -0.4 |
| Osiris Grady | 20 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | +3.2 |
| Jackson Holcombe | 19 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | -3.1 |
| Kylin Green | 16 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | -3.2 |
| Ethan Potter | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +0.2 |
| Noah Taitz | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.3 |
| Cory Wells | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.0 |
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tavi Jackson | 35 | 6-16 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 1 | +6.4 |
| Jamir Simpson | 32 | 4-15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 3 | +7.5 |
| Dominique Ford | 31 | 12-22 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 16 | +3.9 |
| Robert Jeter IV | 23 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | +11.9 |
| Brock Felder | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | +7.9 |
| JT Langston Jr. | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -4.5 |
| Malik Lamin | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -4.0 |
| Duncan Reid | 11 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -4.0 |
| Kai Burdick | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1.6 |
| Hercy Miller | 6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -6.5 |
| Lorenzo Abellar | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -3.4 |
* = starter