Model Predictions
| Model | Grand Canyon Lopes | Tarleton State Texans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.6% | 19.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.3% | 25.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 89.2% | 10.8% | -11.6 | ✓ (7.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 81.0% | 19.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 81.0% | 19.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 92.6% | 7.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 92.7% | 7.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 74.7% | 25.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Tarleton State Texans -4 (60-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Grand Canyon Lopes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyon Grant-Foster | 35 | 6-10 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 17 | +2.6 |
| Duke Brennan | 34 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 21 | +3.8 |
| Makaih Williams | 33 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 9-11 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 8 | +8.7 |
| JaKobe Coles | 31 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 4-7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 11 | +1.0 |
| Ray Harrison | 29 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 5 | +11.4 |
| Collin Moore | 20 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -10.1 |
| Lok Wur | 14 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | -1.9 |
| Styles Phipps | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -10.3 |
Tarleton State Texans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Mizell | 40 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 10 | -0.3 |
| Izzy Miles | 37 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 2-5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 6 | +1.4 |
| D. Grimes | 37 | 6-15 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 16 | +3.8 |
| Chris Mpaka | 28 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5 | -0.1 |
| Bubu Benjamin | 24 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +5.1 |
| Keitenn Bristow | 18 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -0.6 |
| Nick Krass | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter