Model Predictions
| Model | California Baptist Lancers | UT Arlington Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.2% | 35.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 53.9% | 46.1% | -0.9 | ✗ (3.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.5% | 34.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.5% | 34.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UT Arlington Mavericks +3 (82-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
California Baptist Lancers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javonté Johnson | 39 | 6-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Tylen Riley | 36 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 11 | +6.1 |
| Dominique Daniels Jr. | 34 | 5-22 | 0-6 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | -4 | +6.1 |
| Sam Silverstein | 28 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | +6.1 |
| Kendal Coleman | 27 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 11 | +0.1 |
| AJ Braun | 19 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | +6.1 |
| Bradey Henige | 15 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Martel Williams | 15 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | -1 | +6.1 |
| Adam Moussa | 7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Brantly Stevenson | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jonathan Griman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UT Arlington Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brody Robinson | 45 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 5-7 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Raysean Seamster | 39 | 9-11 | 1-1 | 10-18 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 29 | 28 | -6.0 |
| Darius Burford | 35 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | -6.0 |
| Lance Ware | 35 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 4-10 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 20 | -6.1 |
| Kade Douglas | 30 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 8 | -6.1 |
| Brandyn Talbot | 20 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -6.1 |
| Diante Smith | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Cameron Jackson | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Jaxon Ellingsworth | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter