Model Predictions
| Model | Abilene Christian Wildcats | Southern Utah Thunderbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.2% | 29.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.2% | 36.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.7% | 39.3% | -2.4 | ✓ (11.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.6% | 29.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.7% | 29.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Southern Utah Thunderbirds -14 (70-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Abilene Christian Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leonardo Bettiol | 32 | 5-14 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 2 | +29.0 |
| H. Madden | 31 | 7-11 | 4-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 18 | +16.0 |
| Rich Smith | 30 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 21 | +15.7 |
| Dontrez Williams | 27 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 7 | +17.7 |
| Bradyn Hubbard | 27 | 7-8 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 13 | +13.4 |
| Nasir DeGruy | 18 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | +15.1 |
| Christian Alston | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ma'Shy Hill | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +1.6 |
| Cade Hornecker | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2.1 |
| Jack Sawyer | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.9 |
| Quion Williams | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -0.1 |
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamir Simpson | 29 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 7-8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 5 | -26.0 |
| Brock Felder | 25 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 15 | -16.2 |
| Lorenzo Abellar | 22 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 15 | -4.7 |
| Dominique Ford | 20 | 3-10 | 0-4 | 4-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | -1 | -15.5 |
| Duncan Reid | 17 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -10.5 |
| Xavier Sykes | 15 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -6.2 |
| Hercy Miller | 15 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | -5.5 |
| Malik Lamin | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -11.2 |
| JT Langston Jr. | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | -1 | -0.3 |
| Robert Jeter IV | 14 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | -12.3 |
| Kai Burdick | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | +0.6 |
| Cade Brazier | 4 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +0.3 |
* = starter