Model Predictions
| Model | Tarleton State Texans | Utah Valley Wolverines | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.1% | 87.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.8% | 84.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.1% | 93.9% | +15.0 | ✓ (10.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 14.3% | 85.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 14.3% | 85.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.0% | 96.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.8% | 96.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.3% | 79.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Utah Valley Wolverines +25 (81-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Tarleton State Texans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Izzy Miles | 34 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | -5.0 |
| Bubu Benjamin | 34 | 3-14 | 2-5 | 10-13 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 6 | -11.9 |
| Karim Elgizawy | 32 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | -6 | -11.8 |
| Joseph Martinez | 30 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -3.9 |
| Chris Mpaka | 23 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 16 | -4.6 |
| Nick Krass | 22 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -21.1 |
| Keitenn Bristow | 12 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -12.2 |
| D. Grimes | 10 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -9.5 |
| Roy Marom | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.0 |
Utah Valley Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Toolson | 29 | 6-10 | 5-8 | 7-8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 18 | +17.5 |
| Dominick Nelson | 29 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 13 | +7.6 |
| Kylin Green | 21 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 14 | +9.5 |
| Hayden Welling | 21 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | +0.6 |
| Carter Welling | 20 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | +8.2 |
| Trevan Leonhardt | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | +6.9 |
| Ethan Potter | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | +7.9 |
| Jackson Holcombe | 19 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | +17.6 |
| Cory Wells | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | +8.0 |
| Noah Taitz | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | +0.7 |
| Majer Sullivan | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1.0 |
* = starter