Model Predictions
| Model | Grand Canyon Lopes | California Baptist Lancers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.3% | 29.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.6% | 37.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 63.4% | 36.6% | -3.0 | ✗ (17.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.1% | 26.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.2% | 26.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: California Baptist Lancers +14 (85-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Grand Canyon Lopes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ray Harrison | 32 | 4-14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | -3 | -16.5 |
| Duke Brennan | 31 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | -17.9 |
| Tyon Grant-Foster | 29 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 4-9 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 13 | -12.1 |
| Lok Wur | 25 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 6 | +1.1 |
| Collin Moore | 23 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | -3.9 |
| Makaih Williams | 22 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | -6.4 |
| JaKobe Coles | 21 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | -4.2 |
| Caleb Shaw | 15 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | -5.9 |
| Styles Phipps | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -0.2 |
California Baptist Lancers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tylen Riley | 31 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 13-16 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 21 | +11.6 |
| Dominique Daniels Jr. | 31 | 6-17 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 6 | +8.0 |
| Sam Silverstein | 29 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | +9.2 |
| Javonté Johnson | 26 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +3.4 |
| AJ Braun | 23 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | +10.4 |
| Kendal Coleman | 21 | 7-14 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 11 | +4.9 |
| Martel Williams | 19 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Adam Moussa | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.3 |
| Bradey Henige | 7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +3.7 |
| Brantly Stevenson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.2 |
* = starter