Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Utah Thunderbirds | California Baptist Lancers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.8% | 78.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.2% | 82.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 10.1% | 89.9% | +12.0 | ✗ (15.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 23.8% | 76.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 23.2% | 76.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.3% | 90.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.2% | 90.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.9% | 75.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: California Baptist Lancers -3 (57-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamir Simpson | 40 | 9-19 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 6 | +1.9 |
| Lorenzo Abellar | 30 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | -4.4 |
| Brock Felder | 28 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | +0.6 |
| Hercy Miller | 27 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 2-5 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 13 | +5.7 |
| Malik Lamin | 22 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | +5.4 |
| JT Langston Jr. | 21 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | +3.3 |
| Robert Jeter IV | 15 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | -1.8 |
| Xavier Sykes | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +7.2 |
| Kai Burdick | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -1.9 |
| Duncan Reid | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.0 |
California Baptist Lancers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominique Daniels Jr. | 37 | 7-21 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | -1 | +2.2 |
| Adam Moussa | 29 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | +2.3 |
| AJ Braun | 28 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4-9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | +2.3 |
| Sam Silverstein | 27 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | +10.4 |
| Javonté Johnson | 22 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +2.5 |
| Kendal Coleman | 21 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -15.4 |
| Martel Williams | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | -13.3 |
| Bradey Henige | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -3.1 |
| Brantly Stevenson | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +0.9 |
| Jonathan Griman | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3.1 |
* = starter