Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Utah Thunderbirds | Tarleton State Texans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.4% | 73.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.8% | 65.2% | +3.5 | ✓ (13.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Tarleton State Texans +17 (75-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamir Simpson | 35 | 8-15 | 2-2 | 6-6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 14 | -12.1 |
| Jamari Sibley | 29 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -6.5 |
| Hercy Miller | 27 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | -2.4 |
| Lorenzo Abellar | 25 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | -11.4 |
| JT Langston Jr. | 21 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | -15.6 |
| Xavier Sykes | 16 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -4 | -9.7 |
| Brock Felder | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -6.7 |
| Malik Lamin | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -4.8 |
| Robert Jeter IV | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -7.8 |
| Kai Burdick | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +4.1 |
| Duncan Reid | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.0 |
Tarleton State Texans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bubu Benjamin | 37 | 8-14 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 11 | +10.1 |
| D. Grimes | 35 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 6-6 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | +13.2 |
| Jordan Mizell | 33 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 14 | +16.3 |
| Nick Krass | 32 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | +11.1 |
| Izzy Miles | 27 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 9 | +12.3 |
| Keitenn Bristow | 20 | 6-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | +4.6 |
| Chris Mpaka | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Karim Elgizawy | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | +2.8 |
| Joseph Martinez | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.0 |
| Roy Marom | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1.1 |
* = starter