Model Predictions
| Model | Abilene Christian Wildcats | California Baptist Lancers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.2% | 77.8% | +6.9 | ✓ (16.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: California Baptist Lancers +23 (83-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Abilene Christian Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leonardo Bettiol | 25 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | -5.0 |
| Bradyn Hubbard | 25 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 17 | -9.1 |
| Quion Williams | 24 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | -11.1 |
| Rich Smith | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | -9.9 |
| Nasir DeGruy | 18 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -4 | -13.8 |
| H. Madden | 16 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | -8.7 |
| Yaniel Rivera | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -3.0 |
| Christian Alston | 13 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Dontrez Williams | 12 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | -11.3 |
| Ma'Shy Hill | 10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | -8.0 |
| Jack Sawyer | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4.0 |
| Colby Tanner | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Cade Hornecker | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -4.0 |
California Baptist Lancers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominique Daniels Jr. | 28 | 8-13 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 10 | +12.8 |
| Adam Moussa | 27 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 15 | +20.8 |
| Martel Williams | 22 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | +11.8 |
| AJ Braun | 21 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | +12.6 |
| Kendal Coleman | 21 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 15 | +3.8 |
| Javonté Johnson | 19 | 2-8 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -4 | +9.3 |
| Brantly Stevenson | 19 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +1.2 |
| Sam Silverstein | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | +12.5 |
| Bradey Henige | 10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | +4.2 |
| Jonathan Griman | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +0.0 |
| Tylen Riley | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | +1.0 |
| Mouhamadou Dioum | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jalen Dollar | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter