Model Predictions
| Model | UT Arlington Mavericks | Abilene Christian Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.9% | 60.1% | +2.3 | ✗ (5.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Abilene Christian Wildcats -3 (76-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UT Arlington Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brody Robinson | 41 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 17 | -3.6 |
| Lance Ware | 41 | 8-8 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 30 | -2.2 |
| Raysean Seamster | 41 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 4-10 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 13 | +9.7 |
| Darius Burford | 37 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | +12.9 |
| Jaden Wells | 33 | 5-12 | 4-10 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 5 | -1.8 |
| Brandyn Talbot | 20 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | +1.1 |
| Jaxon Ellingsworth | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -4.7 |
| Diante Smith | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -2.9 |
| Kade Douglas | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.0 |
Abilene Christian Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quion Williams | 33 | 8-11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 13 | +3.4 |
| Leonardo Bettiol | 32 | 6-16 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | +8.3 |
| H. Madden | 29 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -3 | -4.1 |
| Bradyn Hubbard | 28 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | +6.7 |
| Rich Smith | 26 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | +15.4 |
| Yaniel Rivera | 20 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | +0.5 |
| Nasir DeGruy | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -14.8 |
| Jack Sawyer | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2.7 |
| Dontrez Williams | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -10.8 |
| Cade Hornecker | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -5.6 |
| Christian Alston | 6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Ma'Shy Hill | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -0.7 |
* = starter