Model Predictions
| Model | California Baptist Lancers | Southern Utah Thunderbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.0% | 27.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 76.5% | 23.5% | -6.5 | ✓ (9.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 70.2% | 29.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 70.8% | 29.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.7% | 15.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 84.8% | 15.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.6% | 36.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Southern Utah Thunderbirds -16 (60-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
California Baptist Lancers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominique Daniels Jr. | 33 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 1-4 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | +14.0 |
| Adam Moussa | 32 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12 | +7.0 |
| AJ Braun | 25 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 14 | +8.3 |
| Sam Silverstein | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | +4.4 |
| Kendal Coleman | 21 | 6-10 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 7 | +10.5 |
| Javonté Johnson | 20 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | -4.4 |
| Brantly Stevenson | 16 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | +4.6 |
| Martel Williams | 16 | 6-6 | 2-2 | 2-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | +2.8 |
| Bradey Henige | 13 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | +8.7 |
| Mouhamadou Dioum | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.1 |
| Jonathan Griman | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2.1 |
| Tylen Riley | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -4.1 |
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamir Simpson | 35 | 3-11 | 0-2 | 11-15 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 10 | -12.0 |
| Brock Felder | 26 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | -2.1 |
| Lorenzo Abellar | 25 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | -9.3 |
| Hercy Miller | 24 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | -15.2 |
| JT Langston Jr. | 17 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | +1.3 |
| Robert Jeter IV | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -11.6 |
| Kai Burdick | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -12.6 |
| Duncan Reid | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -0.7 |
| Jamari Sibley | 13 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | -13.5 |
| Xavier Sykes | 13 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | -2.5 |
| Cade Brazier | 1 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | +2.0 |
| Peter Dadson Jr | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.0 |
* = starter