Model Predictions
| Model | Grand Canyon Lopes | Southern Utah Thunderbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 85.7% | 14.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 85.8% | 14.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 90.3% | 9.7% | -12.3 | ✓ (2.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 76.2% | 23.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 76.2% | 23.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 92.8% | 7.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 92.9% | 7.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 75.0% | 25.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Southern Utah Thunderbirds -15 (59-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Grand Canyon Lopes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duke Brennan | 33 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 19 | +4.0 |
| Collin Moore | 31 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 15 | +6.0 |
| Caleb Shaw | 29 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | +3.8 |
| Ray Harrison | 28 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | +9.2 |
| JaKobe Coles | 28 | 9-18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 10 | +10.9 |
| Makaih Williams | 21 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | +5.3 |
| Lok Wur | 20 | 4-10 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | -2.4 |
| Traivar Jackson | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1.9 |
| Austin Maurer | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.0 |
| Jason Amador | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.0 |
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamir Simpson | 37 | 6-17 | 2-5 | 7-7 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 10 | -2.6 |
| Brock Felder | 26 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | -7.0 |
| Hercy Miller | 23 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 3-6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | -4.1 |
| Jamari Sibley | 22 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -3.8 |
| JT Langston Jr. | 18 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -8.4 |
| Tavi Jackson | 18 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Robert Jeter IV | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -6.6 |
| Xavier Sykes | 11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -5 | +1.8 |
| Kai Burdick | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -0.9 |
| Lorenzo Abellar | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +2.8 |
| Duncan Reid | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +4.0 |
| Malik Lamin | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1.6 |
| Cade Brazier | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
* = starter