Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Valley Wolverines | California Baptist Lancers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.5% | 32.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.4% | 36.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 54.1% | 45.9% | -0.9 | ✓ (4.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.2% | 36.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: California Baptist Lancers -5 (69-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah Valley Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominick Nelson | 34 | 8-13 | 4-5 | 5-7 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 20 | +1.1 |
| Tanner Toolson | 31 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 8 | +4.2 |
| Trevan Leonhardt | 28 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | +12.3 |
| Ethan Potter | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | -11.9 |
| Carter Welling | 19 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | +5.0 |
| Jackson Holcombe | 18 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 11 | +12.8 |
| Osiris Grady | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -5.4 |
| Kylin Green | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -12.5 |
| Noah Taitz | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +2.2 |
| Hayden Welling | 10 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +0.4 |
| Cory Wells | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5.0 |
California Baptist Lancers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominique Daniels Jr. | 36 | 9-23 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 1 | -3.1 |
| Adam Moussa | 34 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | +1.9 |
| Martel Williams | 30 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | +7.7 |
| AJ Braun | 27 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 13 | -11.4 |
| Kendal Coleman | 27 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 16 | -9.0 |
| Sam Silverstein | 15 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +12.9 |
| Javonté Johnson | 15 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | -8.6 |
| Bradey Henige | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | +9.5 |
| Brantly Stevenson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.4 |
* = starter