Model Predictions
| Model | Tarleton State Texans | Grand Canyon Lopes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.8% | 89.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.3% | 83.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.3% | 95.7% | +17.1 | ✓ (6.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 13.0% | 87.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 13.0% | 87.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.4% | 98.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.3% | 98.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 16.4% | 83.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Grand Canyon Lopes +24 (88-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Tarleton State Texans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bubu Benjamin | 40 | 4-12 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | -17.2 |
| Izzy Miles | 36 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | -15.7 |
| D. Grimes | 32 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 8 | -12.8 |
| Keitenn Bristow | 29 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | -20.6 |
| F. Hicks | 20 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | -0.8 |
| Chris Mpaka | 20 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | -10.3 |
| Jordan Mizell | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -11.6 |
| Karim Elgizawy | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2.1 |
| Nick Krass | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.1 |
Grand Canyon Lopes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Makaih Williams | 31 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 15 | +23.7 |
| Ray Harrison | 29 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | +5.4 |
| JaKobe Coles | 26 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 8-8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 15 | +33.0 |
| Tyon Grant-Foster | 26 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 6-8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 17 | +10.4 |
| Lok Wur | 21 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | +7.8 |
| Collin Moore | 19 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 15 | +8.3 |
| Duke Brennan | 18 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | +18.3 |
| Caleb Shaw | 15 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | -0.5 |
| Traivar Jackson | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -11.6 |
| Austin Maurer | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.9 |
| Jason Amador | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
* = starter