Model Predictions
| Model | California Baptist Lancers | Abilene Christian Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 56.2% | 43.8% | -1.4 | ✓ (4.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.9% | 31.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.0% | 31.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Abilene Christian Wildcats -6 (54-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
California Baptist Lancers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominique Daniels Jr. | 35 | 5-16 | 1-6 | 6-9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 17 | -3 | +5.6 |
| Adam Moussa | 33 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 10 | +8.8 |
| AJ Braun | 25 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +7.1 |
| Javonté Johnson | 21 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 13 | +5.6 |
| Kendal Coleman | 21 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 10 | +2.2 |
| Sam Silverstein | 19 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | +6.7 |
| Martel Williams | 19 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | +3.3 |
| Bradey Henige | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | +1.6 |
| Brantly Stevenson | 12 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | +3.1 |
Abilene Christian Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quion Williams | 32 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 3 | -12.9 |
| Leonardo Bettiol | 31 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | -6.0 |
| H. Madden | 25 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -11.7 |
| Rich Smith | 25 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | -7.6 |
| Dontrez Williams | 23 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 5-7 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | -2.5 |
| Nasir DeGruy | 19 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +3.8 |
| Bradyn Hubbard | 14 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | -1.3 |
| Cade Hornecker | 10 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -0.9 |
| Christian Alston | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jack Sawyer | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +0.0 |
| Yaniel Rivera | 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -0.1 |
| Ma'Shy Hill | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 |
| Colby Tanner | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter