Model Predictions
| Model | Abilene Christian Wildcats | Grand Canyon Lopes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.1% | 90.9% | +12.7 | ✓ (17.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.9% | 92.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.8% | 92.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 22.7% | 77.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Grand Canyon Lopes +30 (88-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Abilene Christian Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quion Williams | 28 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | -13.0 |
| Bradyn Hubbard | 27 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 8-8 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 17 | -10.5 |
| Nasir DeGruy | 24 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 1 | -5.8 |
| H. Madden | 20 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | -12.2 |
| Leonardo Bettiol | 20 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | -6.8 |
| Dontrez Williams | 18 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -3 | -3.2 |
| Christian Alston | 12 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Yaniel Rivera | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -3.9 |
| Rich Smith | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -9.6 |
| Cade Hornecker | 11 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | +2.5 |
| Ma'Shy Hill | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -9.5 |
| Jack Sawyer | 5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -1.9 |
| Colby Tanner | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +3.0 |
Grand Canyon Lopes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Makaih Williams | 29 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 14 | +1.6 |
| Ray Harrison | 29 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 7 | +8.5 |
| Duke Brennan | 26 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 23 | +10.5 |
| JaKobe Coles | 25 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 12 | +1.1 |
| Tyon Grant-Foster | 24 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 2-6 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 15 | +13.4 |
| Lok Wur | 22 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 13 | +16.3 |
| Collin Moore | 18 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +9.0 |
| Caleb Shaw | 17 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +14.3 |
| Austin Maurer | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.8 |
| Jason Amador | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -3.1 |
| Traivar Jackson | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | +0.8 |
* = starter