Model Predictions
| Model | California Baptist Lancers | Tarleton State Texans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 74.2% | 25.8% | -5.8 | ✗ (15.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 76.0% | 24.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 76.5% | 23.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.2% | 15.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 84.5% | 15.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.2% | 36.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Tarleton State Texans +10 (67-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
California Baptist Lancers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominique Daniels Jr. | 34 | 3-10 | 0-4 | 13-15 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 11 | +2.1 |
| Kendal Coleman | 32 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | -0.5 |
| Sam Silverstein | 30 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | -8.9 |
| Martel Williams | 26 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 6-7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 8 | -8.7 |
| Adam Moussa | 26 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -12.3 |
| Javonté Johnson | 19 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -3.1 |
| AJ Braun | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | -0.1 |
| Bradey Henige | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -0.2 |
| Brantly Stevenson | 8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -6.1 |
| Tylen Riley | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -6.1 |
Tarleton State Texans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bubu Benjamin | 40 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | +11.2 |
| Keitenn Bristow | 38 | 4-10 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 5 | +11.2 |
| Jordan Mizell | 26 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | +6.8 |
| D. Grimes | 26 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 8-8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | +9.1 |
| Izzy Miles | 25 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | +6.6 |
| F. Hicks | 20 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 9-14 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | +6.8 |
| Chris Mpaka | 15 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | +3.2 |
| Marty Silvera | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -7.8 |
| Nick Krass | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Karim Elgizawy | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | +3.0 |
* = starter