Model Predictions
| Model | Tarleton State Texans | Utah Tech Trailblazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.6% | 37.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 37.7% | 62.3% | +2.8 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Utah Tech Trailblazers +4 (58-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Tarleton State Texans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Izzy Miles | 40 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 14 | -0.6 |
| Bubu Benjamin | 33 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | -9.5 |
| Keitenn Bristow | 29 | 7-13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 3 | -2.5 |
| Dantwan Grimes | 25 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | -0.5 |
| Chris Mpaka | 24 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | +6.7 |
| Marty Silvera | 21 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -7.5 |
| Jordan Mizell | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | +0.9 |
| Nick Krass | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Karim Elgizawy | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +1.0 |
Utah Tech Trailblazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beon Riley | 38 | 8-13 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 11 | +1.2 |
| Noa Gonsalves | 37 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | -0.1 |
| Hakim Byrd | 33 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 4 | -5.4 |
| Samuel Ariyibi | 32 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 13 | +6.2 |
| Justin Bieker | 23 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | +1.3 |
| Madiba Owona | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | +4.3 |
| Unisa Turay | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | +6.9 |
| Pavle Misic | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -5.0 |
| Stone Hutchings | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +3.1 |
* = starter