Model Predictions
| Model | UT Arlington Mavericks | Southern Utah Thunderbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 62.8% | 37.2% | -2.9 | ✗ (7.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.6% | 26.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.8% | 26.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Southern Utah Thunderbirds +5 (73-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UT Arlington Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brody Robinson | 37 | 6-13 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 10 | -16.2 |
| Lance Ware | 35 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 16 | -4.3 |
| Jaden Wells | 26 | 2-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | -15.5 |
| Raysean Seamster | 22 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | -10.2 |
| Brandyn Talbot | 22 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2 | -0.5 |
| Jaxon Ellingsworth | 21 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | +2.2 |
| Darius Burford | 21 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | +0.0 |
| Kade Douglas | 13 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +11.6 |
| Troy Hupstead | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.2 |
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominique Ford | 38 | 8-14 | 3-7 | 7-7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 11 | +7.1 |
| Jamir Simpson | 34 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 7-8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 12 | +16.0 |
| Brock Felder | 25 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | +11.6 |
| Tavi Jackson | 23 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 9 | +21.5 |
| JT Langston Jr. | 22 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +17.4 |
| Lorenzo Abellar | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -15.4 |
| Malik Lamin | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1.6 |
| Hercy Miller | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -10.7 |
| Jamari Sibley | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -5.8 |
| Robert Jeter IV | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +1.1 |
| Xavier Sykes | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.0 |
* = starter