Model Predictions
| Model | California Baptist Lancers | Utah Valley Wolverines | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.5% | 80.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.5% | 75.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.7% | 76.3% | +6.4 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Utah Valley Wolverines +6 (75-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
California Baptist Lancers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Moussa | 35 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 15 | -2.4 |
| Dominique Daniels Jr. | 33 | 6-18 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 4 | -1.9 |
| Sam Silverstein | 29 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | +2.9 |
| AJ Braun | 26 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 7 | -2.5 |
| Martel Williams | 25 | 5-10 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | +5.3 |
| Kendal Coleman | 18 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -5.6 |
| Bradey Henige | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -1.9 |
| Javonté Johnson | 10 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -4.6 |
| Tylen Riley | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -0.7 |
| Jonathan Griman | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -0.7 |
Utah Valley Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominick Nelson | 34 | 6-13 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 11 | +3.5 |
| Tanner Toolson | 29 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 14 | +12.1 |
| Trevan Leonhardt | 28 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | +17.6 |
| Carter Welling | 28 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 14 | +4.6 |
| Osiris Grady | 18 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | +0.2 |
| Kylin Green | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -9.7 |
| Hayden Welling | 12 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | +3.4 |
| Ethan Potter | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -4.9 |
| Jackson Holcombe | 10 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | -0.5 |
| Cory Wells | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +0.8 |
| Noah Taitz | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -10.1 |
* = starter