Model Predictions
| Model | Tarleton State Texans | Southern Utah Thunderbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.7% | 59.3% | +2.1 | ✗ (10.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Southern Utah Thunderbirds -8 (66-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Tarleton State Texans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Izzy Miles | 39 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | +9.2 |
| Chris Mpaka | 37 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 18 | +9.2 |
| Keitenn Bristow | 34 | 9-14 | 4-5 | 2-6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 17 | +12.1 |
| Bubu Benjamin | 31 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 6 | +6.9 |
| Jordan Mizell | 31 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 12 | -1.0 |
| D. Grimes | 24 | 2-10 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -1 | +9.6 |
| Marty Silvera | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tavi Jackson | 38 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 7-10 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 4 | -7.7 |
| Dominique Ford | 37 | 7-15 | 3-10 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 11 | -9.2 |
| Jamir Simpson | 37 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 6 | -9.2 |
| Brock Felder | 33 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 20 | -8.1 |
| Hercy Miller | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -15.6 |
| JT Langston Jr. | 13 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | +6.6 |
| Jamari Sibley | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +0.7 |
| Lorenzo Abellar | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -1.1 |
| Xavier Sykes | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kai Burdick | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.1 |
| Malik Lamin | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.1 |
| Robert Jeter IV | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter