Model Predictions
| Model | Grand Canyon Lopes | Utah Valley Wolverines | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.1% | 52.9% | +0.6 | ✓ (7.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Utah Valley Wolverines +8 (72-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Grand Canyon Lopes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ray Harrison | 36 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | -4.5 |
| Duke Brennan | 30 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | +0.3 |
| Tyon Grant-Foster | 29 | 8-15 | 1-3 | 5-7 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | -5.7 |
| Collin Moore | 27 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 | -7.1 |
| JaKobe Coles | 25 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | -2.1 |
| Lok Wur | 24 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | -3.7 |
| Makaih Williams | 20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -5.4 |
| Caleb Shaw | 9 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -2.0 |
Utah Valley Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominick Nelson | 34 | 6-14 | 2-4 | 7-9 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 18 | +7.7 |
| Trevan Leonhardt | 33 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 16 | +13.8 |
| Tanner Toolson | 32 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 13 | +5.6 |
| Carter Welling | 29 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 5-8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 7 | +10.2 |
| Osiris Grady | 18 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -2.2 |
| Ethan Potter | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | +2.0 |
| Jackson Holcombe | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | +17.5 |
| Kylin Green | 12 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | -8.0 |
| Cory Wells | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -8.0 |
| Hayden Welling | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +0.0 |
* = starter