Model Predictions
| Model | UT Arlington Mavericks | Tarleton State Texans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.8% | 40.2% | -2.2 | ✗ (5.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 70.1% | 29.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 70.1% | 29.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.9% | 27.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.3% | 26.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Tarleton State Texans +3 (77-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UT Arlington Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Robinson | 36 | 5-6 | 5-6 | 6-6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 21 | 11 | -5.4 |
| L. Ware | 33 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 8-12 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -5.6 |
| D. Burford | 30 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | -2.8 |
| R. Seamster | 28 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | +1.8 |
| J. Wells | 23 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 9 | +5.1 |
| D. Smith | 20 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -1.3 |
| J. Ellingsworth | 10 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | -2.1 |
| B. Talbot | 8 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | -5.1 |
| T. Hupstead | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -0.0 |
| K. Douglas | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -8.2 |
Tarleton State Texans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Benjamin | 39 | 8-16 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 15 | +5.2 |
| D. Grimes | 39 | 6-13 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 13 | +5.4 |
| I. Miles | 36 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | +5.2 |
| J. Mizell | 32 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 16 | +2.1 |
| C. Mpaka | 20 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | +9.2 |
| K. Bristow | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | +1.1 |
| N. Krass | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -3.3 |
| K. Elgizawy | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +2.1 |
| M. Silvera | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -0.8 |
* = starter