Model Predictions
| Model | Abilene Christian Wildcats | Utah Valley Wolverines | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.0% | 76.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.0% | 83.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.8% | 87.2% | +10.5 | ✓ (0.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.7% | 86.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.5% | 86.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Utah Valley Wolverines +11 (64-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Abilene Christian Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quion Williams | 34 | 6-17 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 16 | 4 | -9.3 |
| Bradyn Hubbard | 29 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 13 | -8.9 |
| Nasir DeGruy | 22 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | -12.7 |
| Yaniel Rivera | 21 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -14.8 |
| Cade Hornecker | 19 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.9 |
| H. Madden | 18 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -2 | -1.4 |
| Rich Smith | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | -0.1 |
| Dontrez Williams | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | +5.8 |
| Leonardo Bettiol | 16 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | +3.4 |
| Colby Tanner | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.9 |
| Jack Sawyer | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +2.0 |
| Ma'Shy Hill | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Utah Valley Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevan Leonhardt | 30 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | +10.6 |
| Dominick Nelson | 30 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 15 | +9.8 |
| Tanner Toolson | 20 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +3.7 |
| Kylin Green | 19 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 13 | -0.0 |
| Osiris Grady | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | +4.8 |
| Carter Welling | 19 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 9 | +5.6 |
| Ethan Potter | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +0.4 |
| Cory Wells | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +7.9 |
| Jackson Holcombe | 13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | +1.7 |
| Hayden Welling | 12 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | +0.8 |
| Noah Taitz | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +2.0 |
* = starter