Model Predictions
| Model | St. Thomas Tommies | South Dakota Coyotes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.3% | 39.7% | -4.7 | ✗ (9.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 67.9% | 32.1% | -4.1 | ✗ (9.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.9% | 26.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.9% | 26.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: South Dakota Coyotes +5 (85-80). Ratings: 2024-25 season-end ratings.
St. Thomas Tommies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nolan Minessale * | 28 | 3-9 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | -9.3 |
| Miles Barnstable * | 28 | 6-12 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 4 | +3.1 |
| Drake Dobbs * | 28 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | -6.5 |
| Kendall Blue * | 26 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 12 | -3.0 |
| Rich Byhre * | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2.3 |
| Carter Bjerke | 21 | 6-12 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 5 | +1.7 |
| Ben Oosterbaan | 19 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -7.3 |
| Ryan Dufault | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | -2.2 |
| Ben Nau | 17 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -9.3 |
| Ryan Lafferty | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.2 |
South Dakota Coyotes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Forte * | 33 | 10-18 | 4-7 | 6-6 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 30 | 28 | +9.5 |
| Max Burchill * | 29 | 3-8 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | +4.6 |
| Dre Bullock * | 29 | 5-10 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Isaac Bruns * | 28 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 7-7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | -0.3 |
| Mayuom Buom * | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +4.5 |
| Paul Bruns | 21 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -1.2 |
| Kaleb Stewart | 20 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +9.8 |
| Shey Eberwein | 19 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +12.7 |
| Jevon Hill | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +2.5 |
| Ashton Smith | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2.7 |
* = starter