Model Predictions
| Model | Samford Bulldogs | UNC Greensboro Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.6% | 35.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 46.9% | 53.1% | +0.7 | ✓ (7.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNC Greensboro Spartans +8 (108-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Samford Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rylan Jones | 32 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -13.2 |
| Josh Holloway | 31 | 7-12 | 1-1 | 8-11 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 13 | - |
| Trey Fort | 29 | 8-16 | 4-10 | 9-9 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 26 | +3.2 |
| Collin Holloway | 25 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Lukas Walls | 22 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | +6.5 |
| Jaden Brownell | 19 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 7-7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 11 | -7.3 |
| Isaiah West | 15 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | +5.9 |
| Riley Allenspach | 12 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | -9.4 |
| Julian Brown | 9 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Larry Olayinka | 6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -1.8 |
UNC Greensboro Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Demetrius Davis | 34 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 10-13 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 21 | +10.4 |
| Ronald Polite III | 32 | 6-7 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 22 | +13.0 |
| Kenyon Giles | 28 | 8-16 | 5-10 | 4-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 14 | -6.3 |
| Jalen Breath | 26 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 13 | +16.8 |
| Joryam Saizonou | 25 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | +12.9 |
| Donovan Atwell | 24 | 5-7 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | -1.3 |
| Malik Henry | 13 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 13 | -4.8 |
| Akrum Ahemed | 12 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | +6.3 |
| Miles Jones | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.2 |
* = starter