Model Predictions
| Model | Western Carolina Catamounts | Mercer Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.9% | 75.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.5% | 86.5% | +10.2 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 19.4% | 80.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 19.4% | 80.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.6% | 86.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.3% | 86.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mercer Bears +12 (81-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Western Carolina Catamounts
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Kell | 32 | 5-16 | 1-8 | 4-4 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 10 | -10.5 |
| Cord Stansberry | 31 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 14 | -12.9 |
| Bernard Pelote | 30 | 6-14 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 8 | -7.0 |
| Ice Emery | 29 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | +1.2 |
| Chase McKey | 22 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -5.9 |
| Brandon Morgan | 21 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -3.7 |
| Fischer Brown | 20 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | -0.4 |
| Vernon Collins | 15 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +2.0 |
Mercer Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Johnson | 37 | 3-10 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | +11.2 |
| Ahmad Robinson | 32 | 9-20 | 4-8 | 6-9 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 13 | +3.7 |
| Alex Holt | 27 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 21 | -1.7 |
| Cam Bryant | 25 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | +4.2 |
| Laurynas Vaistaras | 24 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 14 | +0.6 |
| Jah Quinones | 19 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | +5.5 |
| Brady Shoulders | 16 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | +6.9 |
| Marcus Overstreet | 12 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | +6.4 |
| A. Montas Jr. | 8 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2.6 |
* = starter