Model Predictions
| Model | East Tennessee State Buccaneers | The Citadel Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 93.2% | 6.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 89.6% | 10.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 93.4% | 6.6% | -14.6 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 84.9% | 15.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 84.9% | 15.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 94.4% | 5.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.5% | 5.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 77.7% | 22.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: The Citadel Bulldogs -15 (66-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
East Tennessee State Buccaneers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quimari Peterson | 39 | 8-12 | 5-7 | 4-7 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 23 | +0.6 |
| Allen Strothers | 32 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 13 | -2.3 |
| D.J. Hughes | 31 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 13 | -4.2 |
| Karon Boyd | 28 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 13 | -4.3 |
| Maki Johnson | 24 | 5-6 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | -1.3 |
| Jaden Seymour | 21 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | +1.9 |
| Gabe Sisk | 15 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | +1.8 |
| Davion Bradford | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -0.1 |
| Roosevelt Wheeler | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1.9 |
| Jaxson Jones | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -3.0 |
| Timmy Fasehun | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 |
The Citadel Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brody Fox | 37 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 12 | -0.7 |
| Christian Moore | 35 | 5-14 | 1-6 | 2-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| John Adams | 31 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | -0.7 |
| Eze Wali | 26 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +4.3 |
| Colby McAllister | 24 | 4-8 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | +2.2 |
| Cam Glover | 24 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 3 | +1.3 |
| Paxton Davidson | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1.0 |
| Dante Kearse | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -1.8 |
| Dominic Commisso | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +3.0 |
| Cole Alexander | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.0 |
* = starter