Model Predictions
| Model | Samford Bulldogs | VMI Keydets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 78.7% | 21.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 84.5% | 15.5% | -9.3 | ✓ (2.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 68.4% | 31.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 64.1% | 35.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.9% | 11.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.0% | 11.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 69.2% | 30.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: VMI Keydets -12 (83-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Samford Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Collin Holloway | 32 | 8-9 | 1-1 | 7-8 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 26 | - |
| Josh Holloway | 28 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Rylan Jones | 27 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | +12.8 |
| Trey Fort | 26 | 5-12 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 9 | +5.7 |
| Riley Allenspach | 26 | 9-16 | 0-0 | 4-10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 16 | +10.2 |
| Lukas Walls | 25 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | -3.2 |
| Isaiah West | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +2.7 |
| Jaden Brownell | 12 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | +0.5 |
| Julian Brown | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Larry Olayinka | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +4.7 |
VMI Keydets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tan Yildizoglu | 38 | 7-13 | 2-6 | 7-8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 11 | -3.8 |
| AJ Clark | 29 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | -1.4 |
| Augustinas Kiudulas | 29 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 7-8 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 15 | -4.3 |
| Rickey Bradley | 28 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 6-8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 9 | -5.1 |
| TJ Johnson | 27 | 2-10 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | -10.3 |
| Linus Holmstrom | 24 | 5-7 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 6 | -13.3 |
| Kaden Stuckey | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -6.5 |
| Jaylen Pazon | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -5.2 |
| Cyprian Hyde | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1.8 |
* = starter