Model Predictions
| Model | UNC Greensboro Spartans | Mercer Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.6% | 31.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 68.9% | 31.1% | -4.4 | ✓ (12.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.8% | 22.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.9% | 22.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mercer Bears -17 (61-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UNC Greensboro Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenyon Giles | 31 | 5-15 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | +23.4 |
| Jalen Breath | 30 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 29 | +13.0 |
| Donovan Atwell | 28 | 7-12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 12 | +6.1 |
| Ronald Polite III | 27 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | +10.3 |
| Joryam Saizonou | 25 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +7.2 |
| Demetrius Davis | 24 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 5 | +22.5 |
| Akrum Ahemed | 11 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +8.1 |
| Miles Jones | 10 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4.9 |
| Malik Henry | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +5.2 |
| Clinton Efinda | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.1 |
Mercer Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Johnson | 37 | 8-20 | 4-11 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 5 | -24.0 |
| Ahmad Robinson | 32 | 2-11 | 0-4 | 6-8 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | -16.1 |
| Brady Shoulders | 27 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -21.2 |
| Marcus Overstreet | 22 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | -22.2 |
| Cam Bryant | 19 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | -15.0 |
| A. Montas Jr. | 19 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -2.0 |
| Alex Holt | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | +4.0 |
| Laurynas Vaistaras | 16 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | +2.0 |
| Jah Quinones | 10 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | +4.1 |
* = starter