Model Predictions
| Model | Western Carolina Catamounts | Samford Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.9% | 86.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 8.2% | 91.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.8% | 97.2% | +19.5 | ✓ (1.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 11.1% | 88.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 11.1% | 88.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 14.6% | 85.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Samford Bulldogs +21 (93-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Western Carolina Catamounts
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ice Emery | 32 | 5-9 | 3-7 | 2-8 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 7 | -14.2 |
| Marcus Kell | 31 | 7-10 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 16 | -16.3 |
| Cord Stansberry | 31 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | -1 | -19.9 |
| Brandon Morgan | 29 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | -12.8 |
| Bernard Pelote | 26 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 14 | 6 | -6.1 |
| Fischer Brown | 23 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | -8.5 |
| Chase McKey | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 12 | +4.0 |
| Vernon Collins | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -7.0 |
Samford Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Fort | 28 | 10-17 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 18 | -2.3 |
| Rylan Jones | 26 | 6-12 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 12 | +21.0 |
| Josh Holloway | 25 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Lukas Walls | 21 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | +3.6 |
| Collin Holloway | 19 | 1-6 | 0-5 | 4-6 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Riley Allenspach | 18 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | +1.8 |
| Jaden Brownell | 17 | 5-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | +14.7 |
| Julian Brown | 13 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Isaiah West | 13 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | +23.1 |
| Larry Olayinka | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | +2.5 |
| Brody Boyer | 4 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +1.6 |
| Paulie Stramaglia | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -0.0 |
| Zion Wilburn | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Thomas Kizer | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.9 |
| Grayson Walters | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.9 |
* = starter