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2025-02-22

Model Predictions

Model The Citadel Bulldogs Chattanooga Mocs Spread Result
Elo 0.7% 99.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 2.4% 97.6% - โœ“
Margin 1.4% 98.6% +23.4 โœ“ (22.4 off)
Pythagorean 8.8% 91.2% - โœ“
Efficiency 8.7% 91.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 11.1% 88.9% - โœ“

Actual: Chattanooga Mocs +1 (76-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

The Citadel Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Christian Moore 33 5-8 3-6 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 13 9 -
Brody Fox 33 8-15 0-2 5-7 7 3 1 0 3 21 14 -12.4
Sola Adebisi 32 1-5 0-2 5-6 5 2 1 1 2 7 9 -11.9
John Adams 26 1-2 0-0 2-2 5 0 1 0 0 4 8 -12.1
Colby McAllister 25 4-6 2-4 2-2 5 0 1 0 1 12 11 -8.7
Paxton Davidson 25 4-8 1-4 2-2 2 2 0 0 0 11 7 -12.0
Eze Wali 16 2-4 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 5 2 +0.1
Cam Glover 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -3.4

Chattanooga Mocs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bash Wieland 33 8-11 1-1 0-0 2 4 1 0 2 17 11 +9.8
Honor Huff 33 3-13 2-11 6-6 1 1 1 0 0 14 4 +10.2
Garrison Keeslar 32 3-4 2-3 0-0 4 2 1 3 0 8 14 +12.4
Trey Bonham 31 5-13 4-10 1-1 3 1 1 1 2 15 6 +7.7
Frank Champion 20 1-3 0-0 2-3 4 5 1 0 2 4 9 +9.6
Jack Kostel 17 1-4 1-4 0-0 4 3 1 0 0 3 7 +4.4
Makai Richards 10 3-4 0-0 1-1 3 1 0 1 0 7 8 +2.6
Latif Diouf 9 1-4 0-1 1-2 1 1 0 0 0 3 1 +2.6
Parker Robison 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 +1.7
Collin Mulholland 7 2-3 0-0 1-3 2 1 0 1 0 5 6 -0.0

* = starter