Model Predictions
| Model | VMI Keydets | Mercer Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 26.4% | 73.6% | +5.6 | ✗ (14.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Mercer Bears -9 (71-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
VMI Keydets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rickey Bradley | 37 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 10-12 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 23 | +4.0 |
| TJ Johnson | 37 | 6-10 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Augustinas Kiudulas | 36 | 5-16 | 1-7 | 7-7 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 10 | +7.5 |
| AJ Clark | 30 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 18 | +8.9 |
| Linus Holmstrom | 27 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | +15.2 |
| Tan Yildizoglu | 22 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -7.8 |
| Kaden Stuckey | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -9.9 |
| Jaylen Pazon | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -0.9 |
Mercer Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Johnson | 38 | 7-16 | 2-8 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 7 | - |
| Brady Shoulders | 29 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -15.4 |
| Ahmad Robinson | 24 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 2 | -9.2 |
| Alex Holt | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | -12.3 |
| Cam Bryant | 21 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | -13.8 |
| Marcus Overstreet | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10 | +6.9 |
| Jah Nze | 18 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 13 | +6.0 |
| Jah Quinones | 15 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | +0.1 |
| Laurynas Vaistaras | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | +11.0 |
| A. Montas Jr. | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +3.9 |
* = starter