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2025-02-15

Model Predictions

Model The Citadel Bulldogs Western Carolina Catamounts Spread Result
Elo 24.2% 75.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 21.6% 78.4% - โœ“
Margin 26.4% 73.6% +5.7 โœ“ (2.7 off)
Pythagorean 42.8% 57.2% - โœ“
Efficiency 42.8% 57.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 33.9% 66.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 33.9% 66.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 38.2% 61.8% - โœ“

Actual: Western Carolina Catamounts +3 (76-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

The Citadel Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brody Fox 36 9-17 0-1 5-5 8 3 1 0 2 23 16 +1.6
Sola Adebisi 36 2-9 0-3 6-8 7 3 0 1 1 10 11 +0.7
Christian Moore 35 7-16 3-8 3-3 3 0 2 0 1 20 8 -
Paxton Davidson 25 2-6 1-4 0-0 6 2 3 0 1 5 9 -0.2
Cam Glover 21 2-6 0-3 2-2 5 0 1 0 0 6 6 +1.7
John Adams 20 2-3 0-0 0-2 4 2 0 0 3 4 4 +0.6
Eze Wali 13 0-3 0-3 1-2 1 1 0 0 1 1 -1 -1.1
Colby McAllister 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -0.2
Dante Kearse 2 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -

Western Carolina Catamounts

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marcus Kell 34 6-10 1-4 5-5 8 1 1 0 0 18 18 -0.7
Bernard Pelote 31 4-11 1-3 2-2 8 3 0 3 1 11 13 -2.0
Cord Stansberry 27 6-12 3-8 0-1 3 0 1 0 2 15 5 -3.0
Ice Emery 25 4-7 0-3 3-4 0 1 0 0 1 11 4 -1.9
CJ Hyland 23 3-6 0-1 0-0 3 3 2 0 3 6 5 -3.9
Chase McKey 23 4-7 0-0 2-2 5 1 0 0 0 10 9 +3.0
Brandon Morgan 17 1-6 1-4 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 3 1 +2.0
Vernon Collins 11 0-0 0-0 2-4 4 0 0 0 0 2 6 +1.0
Fischer Brown 9 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 -1 +1.1

* = starter