Model Predictions
| Model | Chattanooga Mocs | Samford Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 88.2% | 11.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.5% | 57.5% | +1.7 | ✗ (15.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Samford Bulldogs -14 (68-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Chattanooga Mocs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Honor Huff | 40 | 4-11 | 4-10 | 5-6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 7 | +11.9 |
| Frank Champion | 34 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 27 | +15.4 |
| Garrison Keeslar | 32 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | +14.6 |
| Trey Bonham | 27 | 6-12 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 15 | +7.3 |
| Bash Wieland | 27 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 11 | +13.0 |
| Jack Kostel | 20 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | +0.0 |
| Sean Cusano | 13 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | +0.3 |
| Makai Richards | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.8 |
| Collin Mulholland | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | -3.0 |
| Liam Vitters | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.1 |
| Parker Robison | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.1 |
| Ryan Lopez | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.1 |
Samford Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rylan Jones | 32 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 7 | -10.1 |
| Lukas Walls | 29 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | +11.1 |
| Josh Holloway | 26 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 8-10 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Collin Holloway | 21 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Jaden Brownell | 18 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | -11.4 |
| Larry Olayinka | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | +10.7 |
| Riley Allenspach | 17 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | -4.8 |
| Isaiah West | 15 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -8.7 |
| Trey Fort | 11 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | -23.8 |
| Julian Brown | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Zion Wilburn | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Brody Boyer | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +2.1 |
| Paulie Stramaglia | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +2.1 |
* = starter