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2025-02-12

Model Predictions

Model Mercer Bears Furman Paladins Spread Result
Elo 10.6% 89.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 12.2% 87.8% - โœ“
Margin 12.0% 88.0% +10.9 โœ“ (13.1 off)
Pythagorean 34.7% 65.3% - โœ“
Efficiency 34.7% 65.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 13.7% 86.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 13.5% 86.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 26.9% 73.1% - โœ“

Actual: Furman Paladins +24 (96-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Mercer Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brady Shoulders 36 4-8 3-5 0-0 7 3 1 0 2 11 12 -2.5
Tyler Johnson 35 6-13 1-4 3-3 1 0 0 0 2 16 2 -7.5
Cam Bryant 31 4-7 2-4 0-0 2 1 2 1 0 10 9 +0.0
Ahmad Robinson 29 7-15 1-4 2-4 6 4 0 0 7 17 5 -4.7
Alex Holt 27 5-9 0-0 0-1 5 3 1 0 0 10 10 -6.7
Jah Quinones 18 1-5 0-1 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 2 3 -8.6
Marcus Overstreet 15 2-7 0-0 2-4 4 1 1 1 0 6 6 -4.8
Jah Nze 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -1.7

Furman Paladins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
PJay Smith 34 5-15 2-8 0-0 4 8 3 0 2 12 10 -
Cooper Bowser 30 3-4 0-0 3-4 6 5 4 5 1 9 24 +3.4
Nick Anderson 29 6-11 6-9 0-0 1 3 0 0 1 18 10 +4.4
Ben VanderWal 28 3-3 1-1 5-6 7 4 0 0 1 12 19 +5.5
Tom House 26 8-13 6-9 4-5 7 2 0 0 1 26 21 +11.9
Garrett Hien 22 3-5 1-2 3-3 4 0 2 1 1 10 11 -4.9
Eddrin Bronson 12 3-5 2-3 1-2 1 1 0 0 2 9 4 +5.2
Charles Johnston 10 0-5 0-4 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 0 -1 +4.2
Davis Molnar 8 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 0 1 +3.1
Tommy Humphries 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.0

* = starter