Model Predictions
| Model | Samford Bulldogs | East Tennessee State Buccaneers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.5% | 52.5% | +0.6 | ✓ (6.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: East Tennessee State Buccaneers +7 (66-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Samford Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rylan Jones | 33 | 5-14 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 10 | -1.4 |
| Lukas Walls | 30 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -15.7 |
| Julian Brown | 22 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Jaden Brownell | 20 | 5-11 | 4-7 | 4-5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 11 | +2.6 |
| Trey Fort | 19 | 1-9 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -3 | +4.2 |
| Collin Holloway | 18 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Isaiah West | 16 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2.3 |
| Riley Allenspach | 16 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | -0.3 |
| Larry Olayinka | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 | -12.1 |
| Josh Holloway | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
East Tennessee State Buccaneers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quimari Peterson | 39 | 8-18 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 17 | +8.0 |
| Karon Boyd | 38 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 21 | +6.1 |
| John Buggs III | 37 | 2-10 | 1-8 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | +7.0 |
| Maki Johnson | 34 | 4-9 | 4-9 | 6-8 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 22 | +10.3 |
| Jaden Seymour | 23 | 0-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +3.1 |
| D.J. Hughes | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | +7.7 |
| Gabe Sisk | 8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1.2 |
| Allen Strothers | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | -2.0 |
* = starter