Model Predictions
| Model | The Citadel Bulldogs | VMI Keydets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.7% | 93.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.0% | 86.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.5% | 86.5% | +10.2 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 22.7% | 77.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 19.0% | 81.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.7% | 85.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.7% | 85.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: VMI Keydets +12 (82-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
The Citadel Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Moore | 38 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 20 | - |
| Brody Fox | 33 | 5-13 | 0-1 | 4-11 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | -2.9 |
| Paxton Davidson | 26 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | -1.7 |
| John Adams | 24 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 15 | -1.8 |
| Sola Adebisi | 23 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | -0.7 |
| Eze Wali | 20 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | -2.8 |
| Cam Glover | 15 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | +1.0 |
| Colby McAllister | 12 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | +0.1 |
| Dante Kearse | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.0 |
| Braylen Smith | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
VMI Keydets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rickey Bradley | 38 | 7-11 | 1-4 | 8-10 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 24 | +1.6 |
| Tan Yildizoglu | 35 | 3-12 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | +1.7 |
| TJ Johnson | 34 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 5-5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | +1.8 |
| Augustinas Kiudulas | 27 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 7-9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 10 | +2.8 |
| Linus Holmstrom | 26 | 5-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 3 | +1.7 |
| AJ Clark | 22 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | -0.0 |
| Kaden Stuckey | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -1.1 |
| Cal Liston | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -0.0 |
| Cyprian Hyde | 5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
* = starter