Model Predictions
| Model | Mercer Bears | Chattanooga Mocs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.2% | 96.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.4% | 89.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.5% | 91.5% | +13.1 | ✓ (4.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.0% | 91.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.0% | 91.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 22.9% | 77.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Chattanooga Mocs +9 (93-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mercer Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Johnson | 36 | 6-17 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 8 | -14.1 |
| Brady Shoulders | 30 | 5-6 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 11 | -3.3 |
| Alex Holt | 25 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | -8.5 |
| Ahmad Robinson | 25 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 9 | +4.3 |
| Jah Nze | 24 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | -2.6 |
| TJ Grant | 23 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -12.3 |
| Cam Bryant | 17 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +1.3 |
| Marcus Overstreet | 15 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-7 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 15 | +1.5 |
| Jah Quinones | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -1.4 |
Chattanooga Mocs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Honor Huff | 40 | 4-9 | 3-8 | 5-5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 9 | +7.0 |
| Trey Bonham | 35 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 7-9 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 20 | +4.4 |
| Frank Champion | 34 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 3-7 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 15 | +8.0 |
| Bash Wieland | 26 | 7-17 | 2-9 | 6-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 9 | +12.1 |
| Jack Kostel | 23 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 12 | +7.9 |
| Garrison Keeslar | 23 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 13 | -0.4 |
| Sean Cusano | 9 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | +6.0 |
| Collin Mulholland | 8 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +1.3 |
| Makai Richards | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.1 |
* = starter