Model Predictions
| Model | Samford Bulldogs | The Citadel Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 87.4% | 12.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 94.5% | 5.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 95.5% | 4.5% | -16.8 | ✓ (8.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 84.9% | 15.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 84.9% | 15.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 95.1% | 4.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 95.2% | 4.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 80.7% | 19.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: The Citadel Bulldogs -25 (58-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Samford Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Holloway | 24 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Rylan Jones | 20 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +11.4 |
| Jaden Brownell | 20 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | +11.2 |
| Isaiah West | 19 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | +11.1 |
| Lukas Walls | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | +12.3 |
| Riley Allenspach | 17 | 6-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Collin Holloway | 17 | 5-7 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Trey Fort | 17 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 11 | +3.5 |
| Julian Brown | 16 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Brody Boyer | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.1 |
| Larry Olayinka | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | +4.8 |
| Zion Wilburn | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
The Citadel Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brody Fox | 33 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 2-9 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -16.2 |
| Christian Moore | 32 | 7-18 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 4 | - |
| Sola Adebisi | 32 | 3-10 | 2-4 | 10-12 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 18 | -15.8 |
| Eze Wali | 29 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -12.3 |
| John Adams | 22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -16.0 |
| Colby McAllister | 18 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3 | -12.4 |
| Paxton Davidson | 14 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | -3.5 |
| Cam Glover | 13 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -3.6 |
| Dante Kearse | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
| Braylen Smith | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Dominic Commisso | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter