Model Predictions
| Model | The Citadel Bulldogs | Mercer Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.0% | 87.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.9% | 86.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.4% | 91.6% | +13.1 | ✓ (20.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 16.6% | 83.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 16.6% | 83.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.4% | 92.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.2% | 92.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.2% | 75.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mercer Bears +34 (80-46). Predictions use season-end ratings.
The Citadel Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paxton Davidson | 31 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 8 | -1.9 |
| Brody Fox | 30 | 3-11 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | -2.2 |
| John Adams | 28 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | -2.0 |
| Cam Glover | 26 | 2-10 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -2.1 |
| Christian Moore | 25 | 0-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -6 | - |
| Sola Adebisi | 20 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +0.1 |
| Colby McAllister | 18 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +2.1 |
| Dante Kearse | 12 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3.8 |
| Dominic Commisso | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Eze Wali | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
Mercer Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brady Shoulders | 32 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 13 | +2.8 |
| Ahmad Robinson | 31 | 6-11 | 1-6 | 3-3 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 13 | +2.9 |
| Tyler Johnson | 29 | 8-17 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 9 | +2.9 |
| TJ Grant | 22 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -0.2 |
| Marcus Overstreet | 22 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 20 | +1.9 |
| Jah Nze | 17 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -2.2 |
| Alex Holt | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -0.1 |
| Cam Bryant | 14 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | +1.3 |
| A. Montas Jr. | 14 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | -0.2 |
| Alex Koch | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter