Model Predictions
| Model | Chattanooga Mocs | East Tennessee State Buccaneers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.0% | 21.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.1% | 33.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 52.5% | 47.5% | -0.5 | ✓ (7.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.4% | 40.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: East Tennessee State Buccaneers -8 (63-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Chattanooga Mocs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Honor Huff | 35 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 3 | +1.4 |
| Bash Wieland | 30 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 16 | +14.1 |
| Trey Bonham | 29 | 8-16 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 9 | +11.4 |
| Garrison Keeslar | 24 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | +0.8 |
| Frank Champion | 23 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 12 | +7.8 |
| Sean Cusano | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12 | -1.8 |
| Latif Diouf | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -0.6 |
| Jack Kostel | 10 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -2.1 |
| Collin Mulholland | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +3.7 |
| Makai Richards | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -4.1 |
| Parker Robison | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +0.0 |
East Tennessee State Buccaneers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quimari Peterson | 34 | 7-19 | 4-12 | 4-6 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 9 | +3.1 |
| Jaden Seymour | 33 | 7-18 | 3-8 | 5-8 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 11 | +4.1 |
| Karon Boyd | 30 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 14 | +6.3 |
| Maki Johnson | 30 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | -7.5 |
| Allen Strothers | 25 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -6.5 |
| John Buggs III | 21 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -8.8 |
| D.J. Hughes | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3.2 |
| Gabe Sisk | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -6.5 |
| Roosevelt Wheeler | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -6.4 |
* = starter