Model Predictions
| Model | Mercer Bears | UNC Greensboro Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.7% | 81.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 14.2% | 85.8% | +9.9 | ✗ (10.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 16.2% | 83.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 16.1% | 83.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UNC Greensboro Spartans -1 (78-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mercer Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ahmad Robinson | 37 | 10-19 | 4-7 | 9-11 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 33 | 29 | +3.0 |
| Tyler Johnson | 36 | 7-15 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 7 | +5.9 |
| Brady Shoulders | 32 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | +18.7 |
| Cam Bryant | 30 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | +11.3 |
| Alex Holt | 25 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | +2.7 |
| A. Montas Jr. | 15 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | -12.9 |
| Marcus Overstreet | 11 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 14 | +13.0 |
| Jah Quinones | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -8.0 |
| Laurynas Vaistaras | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -15.0 |
| TJ Grant | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -14.1 |
UNC Greensboro Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenyon Giles | 32 | 4-16 | 3-13 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | -4 | -7.6 |
| Donovan Atwell | 30 | 2-10 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -1 | -5.7 |
| Ronald Polite III | 29 | 6-14 | 3-6 | 5-6 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 16 | -8.0 |
| Demetrius Davis | 27 | 4-13 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | -19.1 |
| Joryam Saizonou | 23 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | +5.5 |
| Jalen Breath | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 13 | -3.0 |
| Malik Henry | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -6.9 |
| Miles Jones | 13 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | +20.2 |
| Muon Reath | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +15.1 |
| Domas Kauzonas | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +7.1 |
* = starter