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2025-01-18

Model Predictions

Model Mercer Bears Wofford Terriers Spread Result
Elo 14.3% 85.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 26.0% 74.0% - โœ“
Margin 11.6% 88.4% +11.2 โœ“ (8.8 off)
Pythagorean 36.0% 64.0% - โœ“
Efficiency 36.5% 63.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 14.3% 85.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 14.4% 85.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 27.0% 73.0% - โœ“

Actual: Wofford Terriers +20 (69-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Mercer Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cam Bryant 32 3-4 1-2 0-0 5 0 0 1 1 7 8 -17.2
Brady Shoulders 28 2-8 1-4 3-4 8 2 2 0 1 8 11 -7.8
Tyler Johnson 25 1-5 0-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 2 -2 -3.8
Ahmad Robinson 25 3-13 2-5 0-0 3 1 0 1 2 8 -2 -16.3
Alex Holt 24 3-6 0-0 5-6 4 0 0 0 1 11 8 -16.2
Laurynas Vaistaras 17 1-6 0-3 1-2 3 1 0 0 0 3 1 -2.2
Jah Quinones 15 2-5 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 1 0 4 3 +3.3
Jah Nze 15 0-5 0-3 1-4 1 0 2 1 1 1 -1 -1.8
Marcus Overstreet 11 2-4 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 4 5 -2.4
A. Montas Jr. 8 0-1 0-1 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -6.2

Wofford Terriers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dillon Bailey 29 3-9 2-7 5-6 1 1 1 0 2 13 5 +10.2
Luke Flynn 26 0-4 0-4 0-0 10 1 0 0 0 0 7 +12.5
Jeremy Lorenz 25 2-6 1-4 0-0 4 1 2 2 2 5 6 +11.1
Jackson Sivills 24 2-3 2-3 0-0 3 3 0 0 0 6 9 +15.8
Corey Tripp 23 4-11 2-6 2-2 4 2 0 0 1 12 6 +8.2
Justin Bailey 21 5-6 2-3 6-8 3 0 1 0 0 18 16 +16.8
Kyler Filewich 21 4-6 0-0 0-5 9 2 0 0 2 8 11 +5.3
Kahmare Holmes 18 3-6 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 2 0 7 3 +0.8
Cannon Richards 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 -2.1
Anthony Arrington 5 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -2.2

* = starter