Model Predictions
| Model | East Tennessee State Buccaneers | Samford Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 28.8% | 71.2% | +5.0 | ✗ (10.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Samford Bulldogs -5 (60-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
East Tennessee State Buccaneers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quimari Peterson | 40 | 6-16 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 8 | +4.5 |
| Karon Boyd | 37 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 16 | +5.4 |
| Jaden Seymour | 35 | 6-18 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 10 | +12.4 |
| Allen Strothers | 31 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | +15.5 |
| Maki Johnson | 28 | 4-12 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | +3.5 |
| Gabe Sisk | 15 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | -10.9 |
| Roosevelt Wheeler | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -7.9 |
| D.J. Hughes | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2.0 |
| John Buggs III | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +3.0 |
Samford Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Collin Holloway | 31 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 6-8 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Rylan Jones | 29 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 7 | -5.3 |
| Josh Holloway | 27 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Trey Fort | 27 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 0 | -0.4 |
| Larry Olayinka | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -7.1 |
| Lukas Walls | 18 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | +3.8 |
| Jaden Brownell | 16 | 3-10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | -2.9 |
| Isaiah West | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -10.1 |
| Julian Brown | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Riley Allenspach | 7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +4.9 |
| Zion Wilburn | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter