Model Predictions
| Model | VMI Keydets | The Citadel Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 87.5% | 12.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 77.6% | 22.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 70.2% | 29.8% | -4.7 | ✓ (0.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 71.3% | 28.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 75.0% | 25.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.3% | 20.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.3% | 20.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: The Citadel Bulldogs -5 (70-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
VMI Keydets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rickey Bradley | 40 | 6-9 | 4-5 | 13-15 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 27 | +7.4 |
| TJ Johnson | 35 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | +4.6 |
| Tan Yildizoglu | 33 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | +7.4 |
| Augustinas Kiudulas | 27 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 6-9 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 10 | +4.6 |
| AJ Clark | 22 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 17 | +7.6 |
| Jaylen Pazon | 19 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +2.9 |
| Kaden Stuckey | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +2.9 |
| Linus Holmstrom | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Cal Liston | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Cyprian Hyde | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
The Citadel Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brody Fox | 35 | 8-12 | 1-2 | 1-5 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 13 | -7.7 |
| Christian Moore | 31 | 6-15 | 3-9 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Sola Adebisi | 31 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | -5.7 |
| Colby McAllister | 28 | 5-14 | 1-4 | 7-8 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 13 | -5.7 |
| Cam Glover | 27 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | -7.6 |
| Paxton Davidson | 20 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | -4.6 |
| Dante Kearse | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - |
| John Adams | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -6.6 |
| Eze Wali | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter