Model Predictions
| Model | Samford Bulldogs | Mercer Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.4% | 40.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 78.6% | 21.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 76.4% | 23.6% | -6.5 | ✓ (5.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.9% | 39.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 60.9% | 39.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.9% | 17.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.0% | 17.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.8% | 36.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mercer Bears -1 (74-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Samford Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rylan Jones | 36 | 4-12 | 0-3 | 3-6 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 8 | +5.5 |
| Collin Holloway | 29 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 4-7 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Trey Fort | 29 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | +7.3 |
| Jaden Brownell | 25 | 6-12 | 2-6 | 4-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 9 | +9.7 |
| Larry Olayinka | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 | -2.3 |
| Josh Holloway | 15 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Julian Brown | 15 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Lukas Walls | 12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +0.8 |
| Isaiah West | 11 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | +2.8 |
| Riley Allenspach | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +0.9 |
| Zion Wilburn | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Paulie Stramaglia | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.1 |
Mercer Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ahmad Robinson | 38 | 7-14 | 3-8 | 12-14 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 29 | 30 | -7.0 |
| Tyler Johnson | 35 | 7-17 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 8 | -1.9 |
| Alex Holt | 34 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 16 | -3.1 |
| Brady Shoulders | 30 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 3-5 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 18 | -4.3 |
| Cam Bryant | 23 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -8.1 |
| Jah Quinones | 19 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | -1.5 |
| Laurynas Vaistaras | 14 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | -9.9 |
| Jah Nze | 7 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | -3.9 |
* = starter